HMS Queen Elizabeth

The Admiral’s not for turning

UK armed forces chief doubles down on Indo-Pacific strategy

Paul Mason
8 min readDec 15, 2022

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There were three big takeaways from the Chief of the Defence Staff’s annual RUSI lecture, delivered last night. First, Admiral Sir Tony Radakin’s categoric statement that “Russia is losing” the Ukraine war. He warned Putin that:

“Russia faces a critical shortage of artillery munitions. This means that their ability to conduct successful offensive ground operations is rapidly diminishing… Morally, conceptually and physically, Putin’s forces are running low.”

Coming from someone who’s seen the intel, that has to be more than playing mind games — and if correct would be hugely encouraging to all those resisting Russian aggression.

Second was CDS’ assessment of the West’s diplomatic achievements in confronting Ukraine. “The real victory within our grasp,” he said, is much more significant than a Russian rout in Ukraine. It is, rather the ability to send both “classical and modern” messages to all dictators determined to walk away from the rules-based order. Classical, in the sense that any resort to war can blow up in your face; modern:

“…because we have a world where the leading powers and economies might be prepared to act. Extraordinary collective power that, when harnessed, puts an aggressor’s…

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Paul Mason

Journalist, writer and film-maker. Author of How To Stop Fascism.